Genotype imputation accuracy and the quality metrics of the minor ancestry in multi-Ancestry reference panels

Large-scale imputation reference panels are currently available and have contributed to efficient genome-wide association studies through genotype imputation. However, whether large-size multi-Ancestry or small-size population-specific reference panels are the optimal choices for under-represented populations continues to be debated. We imputed genotypes of East Asian (180k Japanese) subjects using the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine reference panel and found that the standard imputation quality metric (Rsq) overestimated dosage r2 (squared correlation between imputed dosage and true genotype) particularly in marginal-quality bins. Variance component analysis of Rsq revealed that the increased imputed-genotype certainty (dosages closer to 0, 1 or 2) caused upward bias, indicating some systemic bias in the imputation. Through systematic simulations using different template switching rates (θ value) in the hidden Markov model, we revealed that the lower θ value increased the imputed-genotype certainty and Rsq; however, dosage r2 was insensitive to the θ value, thereby causing a deviation. In simulated reference panels with different sizes and ancestral diversities, the θ value estimates from Minimac decreased with the size of a single ancestry and increased with the ancestral diversity. Thus, Rsq could be deviated from dosage r2 for a subpopulation in the multi-Ancestry panel, and the deviation represents different imputed-dosage distributions. Finally, despite the impact of the θ value, distant ancestries in the reference panel contributed only a few additional variants passing a predefined Rsq threshold. We conclude that the θ value substantially impacts the imputed dosage and the imputation quality metric value.