Wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases from infectious disease surveillance in Japan, 1999-2005

Yoshitaka Murakami, Shuji Hashimoto, Akiko Ohta, Miyuki Kawado, Michiko Izumida, Yuki Tada, Mika Shigematsu, Yoshinori Yasui, Kiyosu Taniguchi, Masaki Nagai

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: Epidemics of infectious diseases usually start in small areas and subsequently become widespread widely. Although a method for detecting epidemics in public health center (PHC) areas has been proposed and used in the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases in Japan, wide-area epidemics have not been fully investigated. Methods: Using the above mentioned method, we defined an epidemic as that occurring for a week in at least one PHC area in a prefecture and a wide-area epidemic as that when the number of people living in epidemic PHC areas exceeds 30% of the prefectural population. The number of weeks of an epidemic or wide-area epidemic for influenza and 11 pediatric diseases was observed in 47 prefectures in Japan from 1999 through 2005. Results: Epidemics and wide-area epidemics of influenza occurred for an average of 7.0 and 4.3 weeks in a year in a prefecture, respectively. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks. was 62%. The average number of wide-area epidemic weeks for pediatric diseases varied among diseases; it was more than 4 weeks for infectious gastroenteritis and herpangina, and less than 1 week for pertussis, rubella, and measles. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks was 28-41% for infectious gastroenteritis; hand-foot-mouth disease, and herpangina and less than 20% for other diseases. Conclusions: The frequency of wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases in various prefectures was observed. Epidemics of infectious diseases such as influenza and herpangina occurring in small areas were likely to spread to wide areas.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Epidemiology
Volume17
Issue numberSUPPL. 1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01-12-2007

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Human Influenza
Communicable Diseases
Japan
Pediatrics
Herpangina
Public Health
Gastroenteritis
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease
Rubella
Whooping Cough
Measles

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Epidemiology

Cite this

Murakami, Yoshitaka ; Hashimoto, Shuji ; Ohta, Akiko ; Kawado, Miyuki ; Izumida, Michiko ; Tada, Yuki ; Shigematsu, Mika ; Yasui, Yoshinori ; Taniguchi, Kiyosu ; Nagai, Masaki. / Wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases from infectious disease surveillance in Japan, 1999-2005. In: Journal of Epidemiology. 2007 ; Vol. 17, No. SUPPL. 1.
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abstract = "Background: Epidemics of infectious diseases usually start in small areas and subsequently become widespread widely. Although a method for detecting epidemics in public health center (PHC) areas has been proposed and used in the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases in Japan, wide-area epidemics have not been fully investigated. Methods: Using the above mentioned method, we defined an epidemic as that occurring for a week in at least one PHC area in a prefecture and a wide-area epidemic as that when the number of people living in epidemic PHC areas exceeds 30{\%} of the prefectural population. The number of weeks of an epidemic or wide-area epidemic for influenza and 11 pediatric diseases was observed in 47 prefectures in Japan from 1999 through 2005. Results: Epidemics and wide-area epidemics of influenza occurred for an average of 7.0 and 4.3 weeks in a year in a prefecture, respectively. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks. was 62{\%}. The average number of wide-area epidemic weeks for pediatric diseases varied among diseases; it was more than 4 weeks for infectious gastroenteritis and herpangina, and less than 1 week for pertussis, rubella, and measles. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks was 28-41{\%} for infectious gastroenteritis; hand-foot-mouth disease, and herpangina and less than 20{\%} for other diseases. Conclusions: The frequency of wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases in various prefectures was observed. Epidemics of infectious diseases such as influenza and herpangina occurring in small areas were likely to spread to wide areas.",
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Murakami, Y, Hashimoto, S, Ohta, A, Kawado, M, Izumida, M, Tada, Y, Shigematsu, M, Yasui, Y, Taniguchi, K & Nagai, M 2007, 'Wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases from infectious disease surveillance in Japan, 1999-2005', Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 17, no. SUPPL. 1. https://doi.org/10.2188/jea.17.S23

Wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases from infectious disease surveillance in Japan, 1999-2005. / Murakami, Yoshitaka; Hashimoto, Shuji; Ohta, Akiko; Kawado, Miyuki; Izumida, Michiko; Tada, Yuki; Shigematsu, Mika; Yasui, Yoshinori; Taniguchi, Kiyosu; Nagai, Masaki.

In: Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 17, No. SUPPL. 1, 01.12.2007.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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T1 - Wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases from infectious disease surveillance in Japan, 1999-2005

AU - Murakami, Yoshitaka

AU - Hashimoto, Shuji

AU - Ohta, Akiko

AU - Kawado, Miyuki

AU - Izumida, Michiko

AU - Tada, Yuki

AU - Shigematsu, Mika

AU - Yasui, Yoshinori

AU - Taniguchi, Kiyosu

AU - Nagai, Masaki

PY - 2007/12/1

Y1 - 2007/12/1

N2 - Background: Epidemics of infectious diseases usually start in small areas and subsequently become widespread widely. Although a method for detecting epidemics in public health center (PHC) areas has been proposed and used in the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases in Japan, wide-area epidemics have not been fully investigated. Methods: Using the above mentioned method, we defined an epidemic as that occurring for a week in at least one PHC area in a prefecture and a wide-area epidemic as that when the number of people living in epidemic PHC areas exceeds 30% of the prefectural population. The number of weeks of an epidemic or wide-area epidemic for influenza and 11 pediatric diseases was observed in 47 prefectures in Japan from 1999 through 2005. Results: Epidemics and wide-area epidemics of influenza occurred for an average of 7.0 and 4.3 weeks in a year in a prefecture, respectively. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks. was 62%. The average number of wide-area epidemic weeks for pediatric diseases varied among diseases; it was more than 4 weeks for infectious gastroenteritis and herpangina, and less than 1 week for pertussis, rubella, and measles. The proportion of wide-area epidemics in epidemic weeks was 28-41% for infectious gastroenteritis; hand-foot-mouth disease, and herpangina and less than 20% for other diseases. Conclusions: The frequency of wide-area epidemics of influenza and pediatric diseases in various prefectures was observed. Epidemics of infectious diseases such as influenza and herpangina occurring in small areas were likely to spread to wide areas.

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